WORLD ENERGY WATCH
edited by Gloria Lalumia
The World Energy Watch presents recent news and analysis highlighting the activities of the players involved in the power struggle for the world's remaining energy resources.
FEARS OVER LOOMING ENERGY CRISIS IN UK [1] (The Times, UK)
Across Britain, cities are plunged into darkness. In London, the Underground grinds to a halt, leaving panicked commuters stranded in oppressively hot carriages. In office blocks, lifts stop operating and the air-conditioning shuts down. Employees swelter in stifling conditions. This is not the postapocalyptic vision of some film-maker, but a realistic scenario as Britain grapples with a looming energy crisis. The statistics are frightening. In only eight years, demand for energy could outstrip supply by 23% at peak times, according to a study by the consultant Logica CMG. The loss to the economy could be £108 billion each year. "The idea of the lights going out is not a fantasy. People seem to accept that security of energy supply is a right. It is not. The industry will have to work hard to maintain supply and for that we need a clear framework," said Simon Skillings, director of strategy and energy policy at Eon UK, Britain's largest integrated energy company. This Wednesday, the government's delayed energy white paper will attempt to provide some answers. It is a crucial document that will determine whether Britain can deliver on its pledge to slash carbon emissions by 20% from 1990 levels by 2020. The white paper will seek to tackle a host of tough issues - from nuclear power to energy efficiency, renewable power sources and clean-fuel projects. A planning white paper, due tomorrow, is also seen as crucial after a number of energy projects have been delayed for years or slapped down by local authorities. The scale of the challenge is immense. By 2015, Britain's generating capacity could be cut by a third as ageing coal and nuclear power stations are closed. Britain is also moving from being self-sufficient in oil and gas as North Sea production declines. In 2005, the UK became a net importer of gas. By 2010, imports could account for 40% of British gas needs; by 2020, 80% to 90%. The most contentious area is likely to be nuclear power. Nuclear reactors account for about 20% of Britain's electricity, but this will shrink to 6% in 20 years as ageing plants are closed down. By 2023, only Size-well B could be in operation.
DROUGHT PUTS PRESSURE ON ELECTRICITY [2] (The Sydney Morning Herald, America)
The water shortage across eastern Australia is now so acute it has begun to affect power supplies, and the country is at risk of electricity shortages next year. "I think we are in denial, and are going to have brownouts in NSW if we don't get snow this winter," a source within the electricity market said. Coal and hydro power generation require very large amounts of water, and the Snowy scheme depends on it for 86 per cent of its generation capacity. "Last year we had the lowest snowfall ever recorded. If this happens again we are in trouble," the source said. He declined to be named because electricity pricing and supply is a politically charged subject. Prices are already tipped to double in South Australia. The news comes amid calls for the Government to adopt a carbon emissions trading scheme. This would have the effect of making alternative forms of energy generation - such as solar, wind and geothermal - more competitive with coal-fired power stations. It would also offer greater certainty to those looking to develop power assets. Reports that the Government is close to adopting a scheme with nations in the Asia-Pacific region have come under fire, with Labor's environment spokesman Peter Garrett arguing it has come too close to an election to be credibile. It's understood carbon trading will be on the agenda at the APEC summit in September, when the leaders of 21 countries meet over three days.
IRAN, CHINA AGREE ON NORTH PARS GAS FIELD DEVELOPMENT [3] (Xinhua Online, China)
Iran and China have finalized the negotiations and came up with an agreement on the development of the North Pars gas field in the Gulf, local daily Tehran Times reported on Saturday. Iran's Pars Oil and Gas Company's (POGC) and China National Offshore Oil Corp (CNOOC) will ink the contract by August 31, 2007,the daily quoted POGC managing director Akbar Torkan as saying on Friday. ... According to the negotiations, the phases are to produce 20 million tons of liquefied natural gas (LNG) per year, Torkan said. The North Pars gas field is located 85 km north of the giant South Pars gas field in the Gulf and has an estimated 80 trillion cubic feet of natural gas, according to the report.
THREAT TO BP'S SIBERIAN GAS FIELD [4] (BBC News, UK)
BP's Russian unit, TNK-BP, may have to halt production at a large Siberian gas field by the end of this month, Russia's environment agency has warned. The agency told Reuters it seemed "obvious" that an inspection in the next few days would say TNK-BP was not complying with production obligations. Both TNK-BP and UK energy giant BP have declined to comment.
Analysts say the move is just the latest attempt by the Kremlin to gain control of Russia's energy supplies. ... The firm, which is equally owned by BP and Russian group Alfa Access Renova, earlier this month won the right to challenge in court the threat to its Kovykta licence.
Yet the deputy head of the Russian environment agency, Oleg Mitvol, said he was not concerned by the possible legal challenge. "They [TNK-BP] have yet to win the case and I hope the court takes a just decision," he said. Analysts say the Kremlin wants state-run gas firm Gazprom to gain a majority stake in the Kovykta field on cheap terms. Last year Gazprom secured a majority stake in a similarly large Russian oil and gas field formerly led by fellow UK energy firm Shell.
Shell and its partners granted Gazprom control of the Sakhalin 2 project off Russia's far east coast after Russian authorities repeatedly refused to grant them the necessary environmental certificates. The Kremlin rejects any claims that it is using underhand tactics to gain state-control of Russian energy supplies.
COAL STILL KING IN INDIA AND CHINA [5] (Forbes.com, US)
India's and China's problems with industrial pollution are old news, but now a report says these countries are increasing their reliance on carbon-intensive resources, making it tougher for everyone else to fight global warming. While China and India have proposed a number of initiatives and programs to combat climate change, coal-fired power generation still remains the cheapest, but dirtiest, source of energy for these countries--and the most widely used, according to the Standard & Poor's report. "The extent to which these rapidly developing nations will be able to shift away from coal-fired generation toward low-carbon energy investments is crucial to reducing greenhouse gas emissions worldwide," said Standard & Poor's credit analyst Aneesh Prabhu. Like with many other global issues, this is a tug-of-war between developed and developing countries. India doesn't believe it has contributed to excessive greenhouse gases and wants developed countries to explicitly address the issue before it does anything, the report says. ... Coal consumption in China and India is forecast to increase by 3% a year between 2006 and 2030, compared with an increase of 0.6% a year for the developed countries that belong to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, according to S&P analysts. India's per capita greenhouse gas emissions of about 1.1 tons in 2004 was only about 23% of the global average. But that still makes it the fifth-largest emitter of greenhouse gases, trailing the United States, China, Russia and Japan. Much of its expected growth will come from the Indian government's plans to add about 100,000 megawatts to the country's existing installed capacity of about 140,000 MW to meet its goal of "power for all" by 2012. "To meet this target, the government has proposed at least seven coal-fired ‘ultra-mega power' projects," S&P said. India's key cities like New Delhi and Mumbai are among the world's most polluted. Fuel emissions, especially from diesel powered vehicles, and unregulated industrial emissions lead to dangerously high levels of pollution and respiratory diseases.
Copyright 2007, Gloria R. Lalumia
WORLD ENERGY WATCH
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