What of the Right-Wing 527s?

THE FIFTH COLUMNIST by P.M. Carpenter

It is journalistically axiomatic that ideological readers both left and right prefer bad news over good, the sensational over the quotidian, and in general a fright-filled carnival over a pleasant walk in the park.

Which is to say, by and large they enjoy having their hair straightened by familiar bugaboos and foreboding tales of dark conspiracies underway by the omnipotent opposition, rather than stumbling on the auspicious and hopeful. Woe to the journalist, editorialist or columnist who writes of the latter.

It is with this axiom -- caveat, really -- in mind that nevertheless I present the second of back-to-back pieces with a positive bent. Yesterday I noted "Yet More Evidence of an Obama Blowout," and today I'm calling in some back-up.

Because yesterday there appeared twin pieces in the New York Times and Politico with nearly identical messages that buttressed the happy prospect of the blowout I had just written about.

The good word -- for progressives, anyway -- concerned, as the Politico put it, "the flatlined state of conservative third-party efforts. The truth is that, less than five months before Election Day, there are no serious anti-Obama 527s in existence nor are there any immediate plans to create such a group."

Sure, everyone knows they're coming and it's not improbable that in time they'll come in some strength. But the curious thing is that the 527s haven't come yet, especially since everyone knows just as well that a nasty, brutish counteroffensive by the GOP and McCain campaign is their only hope.

Yet it seems that hope itself is what lies at the bottom for the right. En masse it is dispirited and disarrayed, left ideologically and emotionally shattered by a two-term administration and 12-year Congress of epic incompetence.

Where to turn? Where to go from here? Hell, the right doesn't even know where it's at.

With one exception: It does know that it's facing its worst electoral crisis since 1964 -- principally in the form of the Obama juggernaut and the Republic's cris de coeur for change.

Hence the financially struggling McCain campaign and somewhat better-off Republican National Committee have their work cut out for them: to spread gloom, to lay on the doom, to muddy any shimmers of progressive hope and, in general, suppress the votes of those now in possession of it.

But that's not enough. The McCain and RNC tag teams cannot by themselves get the job done, because a) they simply haven't the money and b) any direct viciousness aimed at the first African-American presidential candidate could easily result in unrecoverable blowback.

So enter the "independent" 527s, which, as noted, surely must enter. Writes the Politico: "Conversations with more than a dozen Republican strategists find near unanimity in the belief that, at some point, there will be a real third-party effort aimed at Obama. But not one knows who will run it, who will pay for it, what shape it will eventually take or when such a group may form."

And here it is, late June already, nearly two months later than the Swift Boaters got launched in 2004.

The right's problems are numerous. Some of the old money isn't ponying up this time around; the hyperconservatives had their hearts and designs set on only an anti-Hillary campaign; some 527s -- such as Ari Fleischer's Freedom Watch -- that once pledged an anti-Obama campaign are retreating from the presidential battlefield; there exists a near absence of pro-McCain enthusiasm; and the FEC has imposed new message restrictions that, frankly, have taken much of the fun out of operating a self-respecting political organ of character assassination.

Both the Politico and NY Times added that every right winger "interviewed ... cited the same central reason" for the scarcity of 527 activity: "a fear that their party’s nominee will publicly denounce them and hold a grudge."

That sounds honorable and civilized, but I don't buy it for one minute, since honor and civility are hardly the hallmarks of political hatchetmen. It is, rather, an excuse -- an excuse to cover the right's splendid demoralization and almost surefire sense of an impending and explosive loss.

Sorry, but that's the good news.

Please respond to P.M.'s commentary by leaving comments below and sharing them with the BuzzFlash community. For personal questions or comments you can contact him at fifthcolumnistmail@gmail.com

THE FIFTH COLUMNIST by P.M. Carpenter

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Don't give the right any red meat.

Unfortunately Obama has to avoid taking controversial stands on FISA and Iraq funding that would allow the right to paint him as "weak on terror", which is one issue that conservatards WOULD be motivated to form 527's around. It's about getting elected, and it's not perfect or pretty to watch sometimes, but Obama's got game and I'm going to enjoy the good parts too.

Who Cares?

Who cares about the absence of Republican 527s?

We have a Republican Congress NOW, so why does it matter? I THOUGHT we had a progressive, Democratic Congress, but Friday they made me look like an idiot and passed FISA legislation that let every law breaking company off the hook for illegal spying. Not only that, but they basically told a President WHO BROKE THE LAW, that "this time we really mean it, you need to get warrants and you can't break the law". Additionally, they gave the President broad new powers of intrusion into our homes.

In the end, it doesn't appear to matter which of these shitty parties is in charge. Certainly, the Democrats probably won't start wars of aggression, but being only SLIGHTLY better than Republicans isn't really a reason to vote for these assholes.

The Democrats have a once-in-a-lifetime chance to change the ENTIRE political narrative. To shift the country back to the left en masse. To change the way we talk about politics in general. Instead, they backed down and gave a lame-duck president exactly what he wanted. Oh, that and they also probably secured some decent nest eggs for themselves from the Telcos.

If we had a true progressive, such as Dennis Kucinich, as Speaker, I might have some hope. Unfortunately, we have spineless party leaders such as Pelosi and Reid who can't bend over for Bush fast enough.

One other note: shouldn't companies like Google and QWest, companies that REFUSED to break the law for the Bush administration, get a tax cut or a medal of freedom? We reward the companies that broke the law, but the companies that actually followed the laws on the books get no mention at all. This is ass backwards.

Oh, quit whining like a

Oh, quit whining like a fourteen-year-old.

There's no point in arguing, because there isn't a dispute over the facts, but over whether one should deal with the facts, maturely and with, yes, a feeling of resignation, or whine and create emotional crises like a rebellious teenager.

Maturity and Resignation?

"Well dad," your daughter says, "I've taken to sucking-off our neighbor's dog, and I like it!" "Oh," you say, as you resign yourself to that idea, "good for you honey!" NOW THAT'S MATURE. [Or do you] "whine and create [an] emotional crises like a rebellious teenager." Like I did when I heard that we had attacked Iraq and my boss-at that time-said to get over it!

Huh?

So, I should just feel great about the party and be resigned to mediocrity?

Sorry, I'll save that for you Barry.

I'll continue striving for something better if you don't mind.

PM, I'm With TheFitConnection on this one

It's hard to be enthusiastic for Obama when his position on Telecom Immunity (which is, in essence, a lethal blow to the Fourth Amendment) is too nuanced for me to follow his reasoning. Normally, I can see his point, even about the campaign financing issue you got so upset about, PM - but here, "I'm against Telecom Immunity and I'll fight to get it out of the FISA Bill, but I'll vote for the bill anyway"?!?!?

THAT hurts - and worse, I predict it will hurt him in the same way Hillary's voting for The PATRIOT Act (twice!), and for the Iraq AND forthcoming Iran invasions, ended up hurting her among the starry-eyed Progressives any Democrat needs to overcome the NeoKon Khrister Right Cudgel-Wielding Fanatics and get elected....

Obama's "reasoning" was mere

Obama's "reasoning" was mere weasel words. What he is doing is unprincipled and probably wrong. And it's not new, either, he's been weaselly about Iraq from the beginning; I don't how so many people have managed to be blind to this. But, so what? I mean, seriously, so what? How good does a candidate have to be, compared to John McCain, to get your enthusiasm?